Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$951

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10.5% on 10 Aug 2026. $951.32 traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 11:12 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	22.5%
1 Sep 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Deafening-Possible	Yes	149.99
egos2	Yes	119.6
sanduspace	Yes	100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	100

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".