Will gas hit $2.50 (Low) by July 31?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 30% on 3 Jul 2026. $1.06K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 11:01 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Jul 2026	45.0%
1 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
TENETENET	Yes	100
.Menthe	Yes	50
niglette	Yes	39.21

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".