Analytics
Yes is at 40.1%, down 9.9 points from 50% when the market opened on 28 Dec 2025.
Across the 274 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 16 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.7%; a month before, 10.7%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 10.4% on 27 Aug 2026.
It is one of 21 markets under “Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?”.
$141.03 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $40.05, with a 78.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 58 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 110.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 40.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 110 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 58.22 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 12.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027
9 more markets, none above 11.3%.
| 15rob |
| Yes |
| 10.01 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 9.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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