Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 16 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 3.6% on 11 Jul 2026. $334.74 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 7:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 16 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 20.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 266 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The ceremony for the 2026 ESPY Awards is scheduled for July 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed nominee who wins the award for Best Fighter at the 2026 ESPY Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the 2026 ESPY Awards and the official ESPN website (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-espy-awards-best-fighter-20260706185212026
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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