Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 4 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 2.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $6.77K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 2:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 48.5% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.78K |
| Silver Oracle 0CDF | Yes | 21.82 |
| defiderik | Yes | 1.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 0.02 |
| marksman | Yes | 0.01 |
