Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 23 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.1% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Feb 2026.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 4:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 2.1% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 151.34K |
| rated | Yes | 20.19K |
| frumosgros | Yes | 5K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate are scheduled to take place in Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rhineland-palatinate-parliamentary-election-winner
| Yes |
| 3.96K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 3.03K |
| Quiet Atlas 0CC9 | Yes | 1.95K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 1.79K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 1.57K |
| paspor | Yes | 1.39K |
| vitalikxbt | Yes | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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