Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the price held at 0.1%. $47.19K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 9:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 150.69K |
| almost-never | Yes | 40.04K |
| uuuhh82 | Yes | 3K |
| KeithStarmer | Yes | 1.35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549
| GOAT-Trader | Yes | 1.12K |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 1.02K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.02K |
| catusso | Yes | 1K |
| punkybruno | Yes | 1K |
| caperdomo1824 | Yes | 1K |
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