Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 152 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 21.5% on 1 Feb 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 26 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 11.5% on 2 Mar 2024. $115.45K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 21.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.09K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.18K |
| purplenurple-735 | Yes | 650 |
This is a market on the date of the first payout to creditors following the FTX bankruptcy proceedings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-ftx-bankruptcy-payout
| Yes |
| 50.33 |
| poppy | Yes | 26.32 |
| vnhjgfdfd | Yes | 9.09 |
| jnhmmk | Yes | 7.14 |
| dongy | Yes | 7.14 |
| ghgfh | Yes | 7.14 |
| eretert | Yes | 3.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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