Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 9, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$141.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 9, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 9 Sep 2025 and the lowest 49% on 22 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 80% on 23 Aug 2025. $141.19K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:40 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Aug 2025	49.0%
9 Sep 2025	99.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	50.89K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	1.04K
cowcat	No	195
qwertzu	No	100

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the 2nd greatest number of seats in the 167th Storting of Norway. If voting in the Norwegian election for the 167th Storting does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the 2nd most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).