Will Fred Simon be the Republican nominee for NV-02?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 10 Jun 2026, the highest close was 31.4% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 1% on 30 May 2026. $1.39K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 3:02 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 26 May 2026 – 10 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 May 2026	2.1%
10 Jun 2026	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.63K
Anon321321321	Yes	198
cry.eth2	Yes	150
bjprolo	Yes	106

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.