Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$34.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.3%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2026 to 12 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 91.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $34.42K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 70%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Jul 2026	81.5%
12 Aug 2026	96.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.32K
Contradict	No	699.81
peepeepooppoop	No	676.98

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.