Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.3%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 21.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4.5% on 16 Feb 2026.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 2:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 21.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 5.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.18K |
| AlxMxMn | Yes | 3.68K |
| ceoofeth | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Frankenstein" has been nominated for 9 Oscars. This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Frankenstein" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards. If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-frankenstein-win
| Yes |
| 888.63 |
| BANK-sy | Yes | 529.67 |
| Spry-Drive | Yes | 519.66 |
| Romeo005 | Yes | 420 |
| Tricky-Licence | Yes | 389.22 |
| Self-Reliant-Noise | Yes | 322.67 |
| Roomie420 | Yes | 315.47 |
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