Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 36% on 2 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 4% on 9 Nov 2024. $77.22K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 35.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.33K |
| brettburke | Yes | 1.04K |
| pfowler | Yes | 1.03K |
| chelseajohnson | Yes | 1.03K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Frank LaRose is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Ohio as a replacement for vice-president elect J.D. Vance by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Vance as U.S. Senator for Ohio - if another person is appointed this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-jd-vance-as-ohio-senator
New to prediction markets?
| rwashington | Yes | 1.03K |
| marshbilly | Yes | 1.01K |
| brownkeith | Yes | 1.01K |
| norma40 | Yes | 1.01K |
| jeremiah18 | Yes | 1.01K |
| trevor62 | Yes | 731.12 |
