Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$527.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 23 Jan 2026, the highest close was 3.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. $527.08K traded over the market's life.

47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 23 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	3.5%
23 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.86M
Wired	Yes	111.93K
rated	Yes	45.43K
PaulToy	Yes	39.25K

10 of 47 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.