
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 51% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 88.5% on 9 Aug 2024 and the low 22% on 28 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 43% on 11 Aug 2024. $86.96K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 4:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 11 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 51.0% |
| 11 Aug 2024 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.53K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 200 |
| maximus13 | Yes | 128.21 |
| Primo-Capital | Yes | 81.6 |
| Arid-Anybody | Yes | 14.89 |
| Rg2024-811 | Yes | 7.14 |
| TRes | Yes | 5 |
| ThemanofLadyLuck | No | 0.06 |
| GHHO | Yes | 0.06 |
| Ahmedrr | Yes | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which country will win the third most medals at the Paris Olympics.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-most-medals-at-paris-olympics
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