Analytics
Yes is at 82.5%, up 32 points from 50% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 10 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 82.5%; a month before, 70%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 69% on 13 Sep 2026.
France is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A1 Winner”, ahead of Italy at 15%.
$12.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $9.01K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $2.43K bought Yes and $1.1K bought No.
The largest Yes position is P1kaso with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Ref00 with 3K. Ten wallets hold 94.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 35 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ref00 | No | 2.98K |
| P1kaso | Yes | 2.53K |
| aliaspopeye | Yes | 1.9K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a1-winner
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 1.24K |
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 1.18K |
| geekedandfreaky | No | 676.43 |
| Luminous-Burn | No | 511.38 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 300 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 191.1 |
| saulgoedman | No | 118.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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