Will France finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$800

Resolved

Settled

Jun 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.8% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 23 Jun 2026, the highest close was 3.8% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jun 2026. $800.01 traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 23, 2:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 23 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jun 2026	3.8%
23 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.83K
melchior1248	Yes	188.04
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
55sfds	Yes	66.3

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.