Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 4 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 8 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 65.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $73.27K traded over the market's life.
142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 4 Jun 2026 – 14 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 28.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.2K |
| Gennedy | Yes | 3.03K |
| TrilogyAI | Yes | 1.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-furthest-advancing-uefa-nation
| Yes |
| 1.35K |
| schmonzy | Yes | 550 |
| joa.cw | Yes | 399.99 |
| Swift Beacon 4CF2 | Yes | 192.02 |
| omerb7 | Yes | 188.11 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 180.06 |
| DFC | Yes | 157.93 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
