Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?

Resolved

No, settled May 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$62.7K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 1 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 34.5% on 2 Apr 2026. $62.66K traded over the market's life.

30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 1 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Apr 2026	58.5%
1 May 2026	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
creamyman123	Yes	3.82K
Bergman777	Yes	1.5K
Sizzling-Phrase	Yes	1.47K

10 of 30 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.