Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 6 Jul 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 4.3% on 16 May 2026. $11.87K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 10:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 6 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 57.5% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KennethSweeney4052 | No | 887 |
| metapandax | Yes | 446 |
| lordmeme | Yes | 441 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 418 |
| JonathanMendez6710 | No | 418 |
| Swift Pulse 69A4 | Yes | 111.75 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 92.35 |
| OneChina | No | 20 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 14 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 13.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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