Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.6%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 71.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 47.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 47.5% on 30 Aug 2026. $5.25K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 26 Aug 2026 – 2 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.38 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 49.99 |
| Dartzi | No | 40.16 |
| Mojito9 | No | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | No | 14 |
| GabrielMessi | No | 11.86 |
| Jopol | No | 7.16 |
| Productive-Frame | No | 5.98 |
| bjprolo | No | 5.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the next team Folarin Balogun officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Folarin Balogun does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AS Monaco". If Folarin Balogun joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Folarin Balogun is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AS Monaco and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-folarin-balogun-transfer-1787683691980
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
