Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 72% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 13 Jan 2026 and the low 72% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 90.5% on 28 Nov 2025. $56.11K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 3:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 51 points · 27 Nov 2025 – 15 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 72.0% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Scholarly-Core | No | 2K |
| Evador | No | 541.81 |
| AmberCooper7309 | No | 453 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 376 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fogo (https://x.com/fogo/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fogo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fogo-launch-a-token-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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