Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 72% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 72% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 93% on 28 Nov 2025. $85.71K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 72.0% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cryptfav | No | 22.8K |
| Radzshinwoo | No | 1.81K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 376 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fogo (https://x.com/fogo/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fogo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fogo-launch-a-token-by
| No |
| 333.33 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 214 |
| systemix | No | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 142 |
| Evador | No | 121.83 |
| Jumpi | No | 87.95 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 84 |
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