Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 17 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2025 to 30 Mar 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 29 Mar 2025 and the lowest 36% on 23 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 36% on 23 Mar 2025. $31.75K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 1:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 17 Mar 2025 – 30 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2025 | 48.5% |
| 30 Mar 2025 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Biblicalnoah | No | 49.02 |
| Slight-Toaster | No | 7.84 |
| andreyguydukov | No | 4 |
| kuplinow | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the 2025 NCAA March Madness Final Four. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If it is impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2025 NCAA March Madness Final 4, according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason the Final Four has not been determined by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-make-the-semifinals
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