Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 19 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2024 to 21 Mar 2024, the highest close was 48.5% on 19 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 21 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 10.1% on 20 Mar 2024. $65.4K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Mar 2024 – 21 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2024 | 48.5% |
| 21 Mar 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asds
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-worst-state-on-march-19
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