Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 14% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 14% on 25 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 6 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 2.5% on 26 Oct 2024. $5.19K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 10:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 14.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.67K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 311.11 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 222.22 |
| Crowded-Temperature | Yes | 113.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Florida is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/last-state-to-be-called-in-presidential-election
New to prediction markets?
| Fresh-Application | Yes | 111.11 |
| masterofethereum | Yes | 2 |
