Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 41% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 15.5% on 18 Mar 2026. $16.15K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 18 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.11K |
| Nyakorves-Peti | Yes | 1.97K |
| DegenOnChainTest | Yes | 977.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-fidesz-kdnp-of-popular-vote
| Yes |
| 252 |
| Frayed-Can | Yes | 203.27 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 136.78 |
| human.bean | Yes | 125.77 |
| mymacbook | Yes | 47.3 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 40 |
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