Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$70.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 12, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	90.8%	90.8%
May 10, 12:00 AM UTC	87.0%	87.0%
May 9, 12:00 AM UTC	72.0%	72.0%
May 8, 12:00 AM UTC	48.0%	48.0%
May 7, 12:00 AM UTC	12.8%	12.8%
May 6, 12:00 AM UTC	14.6%	14.6%
May 5, 12:00 AM UTC	17.5%	17.5%
May 4, 12:00 AM UTC	3.6%	3.6%
May 3, 12:00 AM UTC	7.0%	7.0%
May 2, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
May 1, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%

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