Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 46.9% on 13 Jul 2025. $17.6K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 50.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.57K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.13K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 269 |
This market will resolve according to the team who finishes fourth in the Constructor’s Championship for the 2025 F1 season. In the case of a tie between two teams, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to finish in fourth place in the 2025 F1 Constructor's Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-constructors-championship-4th-place
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 190 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 162 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 134 |
| Wasteful-Tarragon | No | 32.45 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 18 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
