Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 30 Apr 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Apr 2026. $666.35 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 16.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hungry-Timber | Yes | 14.29 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-april-29
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