Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 5 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2025 to 17 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 17 Mar 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 82.5% on 14 Mar 2025. $6.25M traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 5 Mar 2025 – 17 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2025 | 60.5% |
| 17 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ronzlaua | No | 493.84K |
| Dolp87 | No | 369.66K |
| crazychickenz | No | 325.8K |
| 67345635fghj | No | 216K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fed-end-qt-before-may
| yoyomarket | No | 210.22K |
| tegge | No | 160.53K |
| Cobalt Beacon DFDF | No | 146.9K |
| Knn2001 | No | 117.61K |
| Solar Sphinx 97BE | No | 105.69K |
| mihai123 | No | 96.78K |
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