Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2025 to 31 Mar 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 12 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 15.5% on 18 Mar 2025. $100.89K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 6:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Mar 2025 – 31 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 21.5% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.22K |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.03 |
| aidentika | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the Fear and Greed Index when it is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be CNN's Fear & Greed Index, found here: https://edition.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed In the event that CNN stops updating its Fear & Greed Index, this market will resolve to the last available update on the stated resolution time. In the event that CNN's Fear & Greed Index becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the bracket that held the lowest numerical range (e.g. "Extreme Fear).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fear-greed-index-on-march-31
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