Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$131.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.2%. Yes opened at 95% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 93.5% on 9 Dec 2025. $131.01K traded over the market's life.

46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 4:21 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Dec 2025	95.0%
20 Jan 2026	97.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Dimon0707	No	10K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	8.31K
Subdued-Nest	No	2.76K

10 of 46 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the Central African Republic on December 28, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (Autorité nationale des élections or ANE on https://www.ane-rca.org/). If the election outcome is ambiguous and the information from the specified resolution source is not definitive, this market will resolve to the candidate who takes office the following term.