Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 28 Jul 2025, the highest close was 94.5% on 28 Jul 2025 and the lowest 5.7% on 23 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 90.9% on 27 Jul 2025. $207.99K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 28 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 9.5% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 179.62K |
| TimeTraveler | No | 2.33K |
| TheNoobBeaver | No | 439.93 |
| Tizzak | No | 317 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fantastic-four-the-first-steps-opening-weekend-box-office
| dicoom | No | 54 |
| ualt | No | 53.92 |
| qwertzu | No | 50 |
| just1betbro | No | 46.78 |
| kumbapaper | No | 36.98 |
| Pollyna | No | 33.1 |
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