What is the “Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 21.0¢ and No at 79.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 21.0% for Yes and 79.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 15, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market. Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($27.69) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($1.84K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 3 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 3, 11:30 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-fallen-win-an-s-tier-event-in-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-fallen-win-an-s-tier-event-in-2026Updated 15m ago

sportsActive

Closes Jan 15, 2027 UTCcs2sports

Yes

21.0%

79.0%

Buy Yes 21¢Buy No 79¢

24h Volume

$28

Liquidity

$1.8K

Closes

Jan 15, 2027 UTC

Yes price

21¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

21.0%

79.0%

24h volume

$27.69

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 21¢

Open in terminal$27.69 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

38.0%

Observed

15m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

21.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

10 / 10

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
LosingEverything12312312323123	No	10	50.0%	$10
klimkats	Yes	7.69	66.1%	$7.69	Aug 29, 8:29 PM UTC

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Esports oddsWhat are the odds in Polymarket's esports markets?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 21.0¢ and No at 79.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 21.0% for Yes and 79.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 15, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes. A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market. Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($27.69) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($1.84K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

LosingEverything12312312323123

50.0%

$10

klimkats

Yes

7.69

66.1%

$7.69

Aug 29, 8:29 PM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
LosingEverything12312312323123	$7.9
klimkats	$1.62
b1gbang	$0.49