
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 24 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 24 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 37% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.4% on 22 Jun 2026. $19.86K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 24 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Colossal-Linkage | Yes | 1.42K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 171.22 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 119.88 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market resolves "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo's CS2 roster wins (1st place) any S-Tier CS2 tournament that concludes between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, an "S-Tier Event" refers to any concluded tournament classified as S-Tier on Liquipedia.net (https://liquipedia.net/). Online-only qualifiers, or events downgraded prior to event start (e.g., downgraded to A-Tier due to team attendance) do not qualify. If an S-Tier event is downgraded after it has concluded this event will still qualify as an "S-Tier Event". "Wins" means that the team on which FalleN is an active player at the time of the tournament final finishes in 1st place. FalleN must be listed on the active roster for the winning team on Liquipedia at the time of the event. If multiple teams are declared co-winners of an S-Tier event, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name appears first alphabetically on Liquipedia.net (https://liquipedia.net/). Accordingly, if FalleN's team is declared a co-winner, the market will resolve to "Yes" only if his team appears first alphabetically among the co-winners on Liquipedia.net. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizers (e.g., ESL, PGL, BLAST.tv, etc.).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-fallen-win-a-s-tier-event-before-june-30
| Cobalt Raven 09AF | Yes | 90 |
| Neitherino | Yes | 63 |
| Royal Raven 6B2B | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| HappyHippocampus | Yes | 25 |
| Insidious-Ottoman | Yes | 16.66 |
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