Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 31, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$167.1K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 31, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.4%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2024 to 31 Dec 2024, the highest close was 12.6% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.7% on 25 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 12.6% on 31 Dec 2024. $167.12K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 11:11 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 24 Dec 2024 – 31 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2024	6.5%
31 Dec 2024	12.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	579.95K
goodtillcanceled	Yes	22.09K
heleft24	Yes	13.72K
MagnusCarlsenJeans	Yes	9.66K

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules