Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 36% on 7 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 36% on 7 Dec 2025. $20.82K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 8.5% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.47K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 698.38 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 521 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Costa Rica on February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Costa Rican Legislative Assembly in this election. If voting in the Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Costa Rica's Supreme Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones) (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/costa-rica-legislative-assembly-election-2nd-place
| Yes |
| 369 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 263 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 228 |
| JamesNicholson8337 | Yes | 220 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 213 |
| hoffenheim | Yes | 176.29 |
| xinlv | Yes | 168.49 |
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