Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 35%. Yes opened at 28% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 28% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 39% on 24 Apr 2026. $311.85 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 9:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 28.0% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Probable-Scholar | No | 29.18 |
| Focused-Intestine | Yes | 28.33 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q1 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
| Yes |
| 5 |
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