Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 80% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 62.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 62.5% on 11 Jan 2026. $52.74K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 80.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chillchillandmorechill | No | 484.09 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 437 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 363 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 191 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if ETHGAS (https://x.com/ETHGasOfficial) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from ETHGAS, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ethgas-launch-a-token-by
| Kronos | No | 122.34 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 85 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 79 |
| DanielBaker3480 | No | 64 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 43 |
| cryptomimi | Yes | 28 |
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