Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12% on 3 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 9 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points down, to 6.1% on 4 Feb 2026. $73.78K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 9 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 12.0% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spry-Roundabout | Yes | 4.36K |
| srmiiie | Yes | 3.58K |
| kingdome | Yes | 666.67 |
| SeanBrook | Yes | 533.33 |
| lucasd10 | Yes | 499.96 |
| opus66 | Yes | 300 |
| Ontilt00 | Yes | 300 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 298 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 254 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 230 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit February 2-8?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-february-2-8
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