
Resolved No on 9 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 3 Feb 2026 and the low 0.2% on 9 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 24.5% on 4 Feb 2026. $98.83K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 9 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 46.0% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spry-Roundabout | Yes | 8.84K |
| srmiiie | Yes | 3.86K |
| ACSA | Yes | 3K |
| Monumental-Practitioner | Yes | 1.18K |
| Ontilt00 | Yes | 500 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 268.17 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 233 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 230 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 209 |
| opus66 | Yes | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit February 2-8?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-february-2-8
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page