
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 12% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 3.4% on 14 Mar 2026.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 10:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 12.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| boom888 | Yes | 24.77K |
| Warzone | Yes | 8.52K |
| IH2P | Yes | 4.88K |
| fomod | Yes | 1.92K |
| Downright-Infarction | Yes | 1.01K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 999.97 |
| Serpentine-Floozie | Yes | 800.38 |
| Cosmic Signal 9878 | Yes | 605.5 |
| harambeismyhero | Yes | 232.32 |
| Royal Quasar EF5C | Yes | 229.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit March 9-15?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-march-9-15
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