Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 58% on 2 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 78.5% on 4 Oct 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 15.5% on 15 Oct 2024. $790.82K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 2 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2024 | 58.0% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Firetrader | Yes | 10.36K |
| heuer | Yes | 290 |
| Elmoto.eth | Yes | 125 |
| Plastic-Footage | Yes | 69.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between October 1, 2024, 00:00 and October 31, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,250.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october
| Sevryga | Yes | 65 |
| nermengardi | Yes | 60 |
| LB2-757 | No | 28.09 |
| d00mer | Yes | 25.45 |
| Keote | Yes | 25 |
| Strict-Slang | No | 11.63 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page