Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Oct 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$57.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 11, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 3 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2025 to 11 Oct 2025, the highest close was 100% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 56% on 7 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 100% on 11 Oct 2025. $57.29K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 3 Oct 2025 – 11 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Oct 2025	67.5%
11 Oct 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Optionsguru18	No	2.5K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	1.14K
Tayron10	No	1K
Nbthuyen	No	700

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between October 2, 2025, 11:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $4,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.