
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 65.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the low 15.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 23% on 10 Dec 2025. $180.83K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 16, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 65.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GoldenFlask151 | Yes | 2.91K |
| Fartard | Yes | 2.55K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 999.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 900 |
| benjo.187erz | Yes | 287.5 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 285 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 243 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 206 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 204 |
| fomod | Yes | 166.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit December 8-14?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-december-8-14
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