
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 14.5% on 14 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 14.5% on 14 Jan 2025. $520.09K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 7:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 3 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2025 | 9.0% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mango0x | Yes | 2.16K |
| Nikichain | Yes | 1.68K |
| heuer | Yes | 399.99 |
| KrakenBro | No | 53.59 |
| Birma | No | 49.64 |
| Adriano | No | 41.21 |
| BidenT | No | 40.44 |
| alejandrolewis | No | 38.58 |
| derrickrasmussen | No | 38.54 |
| christopherdelgado | No | 38.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,500.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-january
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