
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74%. Yes opened at 54% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 4 Mar 2025 and the low 27% on 3 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 74% on 4 Mar 2025. $603.25K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 4 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 54.0% |
| 4 Mar 2025 | 74.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Raph34 | No | 6.25K |
| mango0x | No | 2.07K |
| StellarVino | No | 60.99 |
| josefa | Yes | 1.72 |
| scambo | Yes | 0.01 |
| 2010TillTheEnd | No | 0.01 |
| imls | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between February 28, 13:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-by-march-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page