Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.2% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Oct 2026. $76.96K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 11:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OneMillySoon | Yes | 5K |
| timetowander | Yes | 4.74K |
| fomod | Yes | 4.68K |
| doc.holliday | Yes | 2.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-october-12-18-2026
| PerfectLatos | Yes | 2.94K |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 2.84K |
| latzs | Yes | 1.85K |
| mrkensei | Yes | 415.14 |
| Unimportant-Ark | Yes | 280 |
| a5533 | Yes | 100 |
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