Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 9% on 19 Mar 2026 and the low 1.6% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points down, to 2.7% on 21 Mar 2026.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 17 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 5.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 233231 | Yes | 30.15K |
| Spry-Roundabout | Yes | 5.51K |
| Warzone | Yes | 3.2K |
| fomod | Yes | 2.95K |
| Limping-Markup | Yes | 1.65K |
| Misty Summit 3196 | Yes | 666.66 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.96 |
| Unwilling-Opportunity | Yes | 302.82 |
| kenzo.takaesu | Yes | 241.34 |
| cijiaxi | Yes | 207.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-march-16-22
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